Fatores que influenciam o preço da commodity soja

Abstract

The opening of economies for the world market had allowed happening a decrease in the production’s cost due to specification of each country in a specific production, according to their relative advantage in relation to other countries. Specification caused dependence of countries in other sectors that are not their specialization, emerging with this the commodities as alternative to supply that dependence. Among of types of commodities, there is the agricultural, having their price fixed in the future’s market and vary according to world supply and demand. Intending to help in the planning of agricultural commodities’ importers and exporters, this research had as goal realize some factors could interfere in the soybean agricultural commodity price. To make this research, it was collected data from the last 10 years about world production, Brazilian production, and soybean world production estimates, and in isolation they were correlated with the soybean price at Chicago stock exchange, using data sheets and the result being presented graphically and numerically through the Pearson coefficient. Concluded that the world production, Brazilian production, and soybean world production estimate have an inverse correlate with the soybean price, having some factors that influence directly or indirectly, as exchange rate and political agreements, respectively.