O Brasil no Mercosul (2007-2017): uma análise das relações do país com o bloco

Abstract

This course conclusion work deals with Brazil's trade relations with Mercosur, specifically in the last decade, in order to verify if there are continuities or changes in the relationship pattern with the bloc. Mercosur is characterized by aprocess of regional integration involving five countries (Argentina, Brazil, Paraguay, Uruguay and Venezuela), the last of which is suspended from the bloc. In addition to these countries, Bolivia is on the way to becoming a permanent member of the bloc. The bloc was responsible for expanding the volume of trade between the four initial countries and the pattern of relations established depends directly on the preferences of the presidents and the societies involved. Because of this characteristic, that is, the relevance of inter- presidentialism as a determinant of the bloc's directions, it is analyzed if the recent changes of presidents in the countries of the region modify the patterns of commercial relations. The main research question is: the rise of the right in the main countries of the Block (Argentina and Brazil) change the pattern of trade relations that Brazil establishes with the bloc? The main hypothesis of work is: (H1) the fall of President Dilma and the rise of Temer to the position of president, changed Brazil's relations with the Block, reducing the country's tradevolume with the bloc. For this, an analysis was made of Brazil's trade relations with the bloc, based on the official data and also analyzed the main products traded, to verify that even when there are no volume changes, the standard of business relationship. This study, therefore, intends to verify if the presidential variations, especially in the case of Brazil, produce a change in the commercial relations of the country with the Block.