Investigação empírica da relação entre investimento externo e exportações em economias latino-americanas e asiáticas

Abstract

The goal of this work is to verify the impact of foreign direct investment on exports in Latin American and Asian economies by 1970 to 2017. Six countries were analyzed: Brazil, Chile, China, South Korea, India and Mexico. The applied econometric methodology consists of a multiple regression model. The econometric estimates were developed using the Gretl econometric package, using the least squares method. The result of the estimations can be summarized as follows: the model estimated for Brazil indicates that 37,69% of the exports variations (% GDP) are explained by the independent variables. In the case of Chile, 36,56% of the changes in exports (% GDP) are explained by explanatory variables. China’s regression indicates that 41,66% of the exports variations (% GDP) are explained by independent variables. In the case of South Korea, the regression indicates that 69,13% of the exports variations (% GDP) are explained by the variables included in the model as explanatory. Finally, Mexico’s regression indicates that 76,50% of the exports variations (% GDP) are explained by the independent variables.